Paksi SE 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+13.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 28%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
2.00/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+49% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.17 xG 1.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
342 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 23
34 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
10.08.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.05.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.10.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 HT 2-3 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE edged past Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Paksi SE made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Paksi SE had 46% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 54%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Paksi SE and 2.17 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Paksi SE 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - Cup on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 39%, draw 24%, Zalaegerszegi TE 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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