Akron 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Nov 2025

Akron
1-2 HT 0-2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.86
Over
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.21
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.54
6+
10%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.7
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.6
X/2
6%
7.53
X/X
12%
4.91
2/1 ✗
10%
24.45
2/2
12%
5.72
2/X
6%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akron v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.93/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.63
+6% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
27.8 Crosses 17.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
251 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
01.03.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Akron Akron RUS
05.10.2024 Akron Akron 2-2 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod nicked a narrow win over Akron 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Akron at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Akron and 1.33 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Akron 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Akron 51%, draw 24%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Akron) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akron) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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