Ayutthaya United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 34%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.84/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.20
-29% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.6 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayutthaya United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United TAY1
20.11.2021 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 1-1 HT 1-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayutthaya United
1-1
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.04 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
250 Passes 191
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayutthaya United and Lamphun Warrior couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ayutthaya United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ayutthaya United had 56% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.04 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayutthaya United and 1.50 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Ayutthaya United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayutthaya United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ayutthaya United 42%, draw 25%, Lamphun Warrior 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ayutthaya United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayutthaya United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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