Rayong FC 1-0 Chonburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chonburi EU Bookmakers 31%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.60/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.96
+35% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.4 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chonburi
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 Rayong FC 4-3 HT 2-0 Chonburi Chonburi HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
1-0
AWAY Chonburi
0.71 xG 0.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
277 Passes 248
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Chonburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC squeezed past Chonburi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rayong FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayong FC had 54% of the ball to Chonburi's 46%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.71 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Chonburi?

Rayong FC 1-0 Chonburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Chonburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 41%, draw 29%, Chonburi 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayong FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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