Chiangrai United 0-2 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

Chiangrai United
0-2 HT 0-1
Muang Thong United
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chiangrai United v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.02/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.20
-10% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
14.1 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.80 xG 0.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
234 Passes 402
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
15.12.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 3-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
19.11.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 3-1 HT 2-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
27.02.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
17.10.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY

Chiangrai United 0-2 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
0-2
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.08 xG 1.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
317 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United saw off Chiangrai United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Muang Thong United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 59% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 41%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.08 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.20 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United?

Chiangrai United 0-2 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 38%, draw 28%, Muang Thong United 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chiangrai United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✓ Under 2.5
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