Exeter City vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İNLK
2-1
HT 2-1
Crawley Town
İN2
1-3
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN2
2-0
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN2
Exeter City 4-4 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City and Crawley Town couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Exeter City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Exeter City had 56% of the ball to Crawley Town's 44%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.55 to 1.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Exeter City and 1.17 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Crawley Town?
Exeter City 4-4 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 42%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 34%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Exeter City), BTTS No went the other way.