Norwich City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.13
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
21%
3.95
X/2
10%
10.2
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1
10%
23.4
2/2
8%
7.95
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.37
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.7 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
393 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
10.02.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-2 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
25.11.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
16.08.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNLK
19.04.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
02.11.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
1-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
2.07 xG 0.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
433 Passes 315
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City and Queens Park Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Norwich City had 57% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 43%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.07 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Norwich City and 1.00 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Norwich City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 53%, draw 22%, Queens Park Rangers 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ BTTS No
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