Stoke City vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Stoke City v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stoke City 1-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City found just enough to beat Sunderland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
A gentle 45% lean on Sunderland didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: Sunderland saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.81 to 2.06 — on chances, Sunderland could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Stoke City against 1.50 for Sunderland.
Stoke City vs Sunderland Result & Final Score
Stoke City 1 - 0 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Stoke City vs Sunderland Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 28%, draw 28%, Sunderland 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunderland), BTTS Yes went the other way.