Stoke City vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Sunderland
İNCL
1-5
HT 0-1
Stoke City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-1
Sunderland
İNCL
1-3
HT 1-3
Stoke City
İNP
Stoke City 1-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City edged past Sunderland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Stoke City had 45% of the ball to Sunderland's 55%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.81 to 2.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sunderland.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stoke City and 1.50 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Sunderland?
Stoke City 1-0 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 32%, draw 27%, Sunderland 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.