Sunderland vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sunderland v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sunderland 2-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland squeezed past Stoke City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Stoke City saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.40 to 1.01 — on chances created, Sunderland won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Sunderland against 2.17 for Stoke City.
Sunderland vs Stoke City Result & Final Score
Sunderland 2 - 1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sunderland vs Stoke City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 58%, draw 24%, Stoke City 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.