Leeds United vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leeds United v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
Leeds United vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leeds United 2-0 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics
Leeds United beat Derby County 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 63% to 37% in Leeds United's favour, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.26 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Leeds United against 1.17 for Derby County.
Leeds United vs Derby County Result & Final Score
Leeds United 2 - 0 Derby County in the England - Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leeds United vs Derby County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 71%, draw 20%, Derby County 9%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.