Portsmouth 3-0 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.93
1/2
10%
31.0
1/X
9%
16.05
X/1
8%
7.75
X/2
11%
5.0
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.19
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.60/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.38
+15% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
225 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
22.2 Crosses 21.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bristol City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
371 Passes 487
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City HAZ
10.01.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 2-1 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
17.03.2012 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.08.2011 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
08.03.2011 Bristol City Bristol City 2-1 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
28.09.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
3-0
AWAY Bristol City
2.44 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
181 Passes 239
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth swept aside Bristol City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Portsmouth made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portsmouth had 45% of the ball to Bristol City's 55%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.44 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portsmouth and 1.00 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Bristol City?

Portsmouth 3-0 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 31%, draw 28%, Bristol City 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bristol City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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