Millwall 0-1 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 7 Dec 2024

Millwall
0-1 HT 0-0
Coventry
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Millwall vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.95
X/1
15%
6.25
X/2
10%
5.64
X/X
12%
4.23
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.16
2/X
7%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Coventry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.25
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.1 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Millwall vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coventry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 337
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Coventry Coventry 2-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
25.11.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
14.02.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
13.08.2022 Millwall Millwall 3-2 HT 1-2 Coventry Coventry İNCL
29.12.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
18.09.2021 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Millwall 0-1 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
0-1
AWAY Coventry
0.47 xG 1.77
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
197 Passes 415
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry nicked a narrow win over Millwall 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Millwall had 37% of the ball to Coventry's 63%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.47 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Coventry's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millwall and 1.50 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Coventry?

Millwall 0-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millwall 41%, draw 28%, Coventry 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millwall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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