Watford 1-2 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Dec 2024

Watford
1-2 HT 1-2
Cardiff City
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Watford vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
22%
4.35
X/2
7%
8.35
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
6.32
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Watford v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.37/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.35
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.9 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Watford vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 0.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
421 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Watford Watford 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
07.10.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-1 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
19.04.2023 Watford Watford 1-3 HT 1-3 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
02.11.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-2 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
13.03.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-2 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
05.12.2020 Watford Watford 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL

Watford 1-2 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
1-2
AWAY Cardiff City
1.02 xG 1.49
73% Ball Possession 27%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
431 Passes 105
83% Pass Accuracy 55%
22 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Watford vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City edged past Watford 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Watford at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Watford had 73% of the ball to Cardiff City's 27%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.02 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Watford and 1.33 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Watford vs Cardiff City?

Watford 1-2 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Watford 51%, draw 25%, Cardiff City 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Watford), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Watford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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