Napoli vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli v Venezia — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTB
1-1
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTB
Napoli 1-0 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli squeezed past Venezia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Napoli had 67% of the ball to Venezia's 33%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 1.97 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Napoli's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Napoli and 0.25 for Venezia.
What was the final score of Napoli vs Venezia?
Napoli 1-0 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli vs Venezia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Napoli 60%, draw 24%, Venezia 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.