Milan vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
Milan 1-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Milan and Roma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Milan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Milan had 45% of the ball to Roma's 55%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.88 to 1.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Milan and 1.83 for Roma.
What was the final score of Milan vs Roma?
Milan 1-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milan 44%, draw 27%, Roma 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milan), BTTS No went the other way.