Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.22
X/2
17%
8.3
X/X
11%
4.26
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
10%
6.69
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.26
+5% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 85%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.6 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 1.16
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
234 Passes 494
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
05.11.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
12.02.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
03.09.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.05.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
20.04.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-2
AWAY Fiorentina
1.49 xG 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
435 Passes 246
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Fiorentina shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus had 62% of the ball to Fiorentina's 38%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.49 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventus and 0.50 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Fiorentina?

Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventus 40%, draw 28%, Fiorentina 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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