Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventus v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Juventus vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Juventus
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Juventus
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Fiorentina
İTK
0-1
HT 0-0
Juventus
İTK
Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus squeezed past Fiorentina 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Juventus had 25% of the ball to Fiorentina's 75%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.94 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Juventus's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventus and 0.50 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Juventus 52%, draw 25%, Fiorentina 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.