Hellas Verona 1-2 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
5.72
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.9
X/1
13%
5.13
X/2
10%
5.62
X/X
14%
3.41
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.45
2/X
9%
14.0
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 11% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.28/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.17
+8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.7 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genoa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 276
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
04.04.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
25.09.2021 Genoa Genoa 3-3 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
20.02.2021 Genoa Genoa 2-2 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
19.10.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
02.08.2020 Genoa Genoa 3-0 HT 3-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
1-2
AWAY Genoa
1.33 xG 2.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
381 Passes 222
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa squeezed past Hellas Verona 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Genoa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 61% of the ball to Genoa's 39%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.33 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.50 for Genoa.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Genoa?

Hellas Verona 1-2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 35%, draw 33%, Genoa 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hellas Verona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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