Hellas Verona vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hellas Verona v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Hellas Verona vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTA
3-3
HT 0-1
Hellas Verona
İTA
2-2
HT 0-1
Hellas Verona
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
3-0
HT 3-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
Hellas Verona 1-2 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa squeezed past Hellas Verona 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Genoa made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Hellas Verona had 61% of the ball to Genoa's 39%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.33 to 2.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.50 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
Hellas Verona 1-2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 35%, draw 33%, Genoa 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.