Penafiel vs Benfica II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Benfica II — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Benfica II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Benfica II
POR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Benfica II
POR2
Penafiel 1-1 Benfica II — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel and Benfica II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Penafiel had 43% of the ball to Benfica II's 57%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.91 to 2.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Penafiel and 1.33 for Benfica II.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Benfica II?
Penafiel 1-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Benfica II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 39%, draw 27%, Benfica II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penafiel), Over 2.5 went the other way.