Maritimo vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Maritimo 1-2 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics
UD Oliveirense edged past Maritimo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Maritimo had 61% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 39%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.32 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Maritimo.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maritimo and 1.00 for UD Oliveirense.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs UD Oliveirense?
Maritimo 1-2 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs UD Oliveirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 48%, draw 27%, UD Oliveirense 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.