Paris (K) 0-4 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.1
Over
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.3pp
36%
Draw
25%
+11.0pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.33/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.64
+77% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
9.0 Crosses 20.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.69 xG 2.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
290 Passes 511
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2023 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Paris (K) Paris (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris (K)
0-4
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.05 xG 1.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
289 Passes 421
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) swept aside Paris (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 36% / 33% — and on the day Chelsea (K) made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris (K) had 42% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 58%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.05 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Paris (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Paris (K) 0-4 Chelsea (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paris (K) 32%, draw 36%, Chelsea (K) 33%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
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