Real Madrid (K) 0-1 Hacken (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.03
Over
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Madrid (K) win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hacken (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
418 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2023 Hacken (K) Hacken (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0-1
AWAY Hacken (K)
1.28 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
427 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Hacken (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken (K) nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 56% of the ball to Hacken (K)'s 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.28 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Hacken (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 0-1 Hacken (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Hacken (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 52%, draw 27%, Hacken (K) 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Madrid (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
30 Jan 2024
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