Atletico Aldosivi 0-5 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.01/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.25
-16% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.4 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
221 Passes 310
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
10.08.2021 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
14.01.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 4-4 HT 3-2 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
20.10.2019 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
05.03.2019 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
08.11.2016 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
0-5
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.89 xG 1.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
250 Passes 257
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia swept aside Atletico Aldosivi 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Aldosivi had 51% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 49%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.89 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 1.33 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensa y Justicia?

Atletico Aldosivi 0-5 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 37%, draw 25%, Defensa y Justicia 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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