River Plate 1-0 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.77
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
19.45
X/1
19%
3.58
X/2
7%
13.4
X/X
15%
5.65
2/1
5%
24.7
2/2
10%
12.4
2/X
5%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 17%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.91/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.21
+15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
24.5 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.44 xG 0.88
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
479 Passes 138
85% Pass Accuracy 59%
30 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.11.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-3 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
16.04.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-3 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
27.11.2023 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
23.06.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
09.04.2006 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
14.11.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-4 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-0
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.36 xG 0.20
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
421 Passes 134
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate edged past Instituto Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, River Plate had 70% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 30%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for River Plate and 1.00 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Instituto Cordoba?

River Plate 1-0 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split River Plate 55%, draw 24%, Instituto Cordoba 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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