Union Santa Fe 1-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.91
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.41
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
10%
5.46
X/2
10%
5.21
X/X
19%
3.38
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.11
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -22%
1.16/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.25
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
25.7 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 0.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
247 Passes 364
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
07.03.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
21.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
06.07.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
25.06.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
17.07.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.26 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
369 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 9
38 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe and Boca Juniors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 55% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 45%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.26 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Santa Fe and 0.83 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?

Union Santa Fe 1-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 36%, draw 32%, Boca Juniors 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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