Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.28/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.14
-37% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
8.0 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 2.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
283 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-3 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
24.12.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
13.08.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-0
AWAY Al Wehda
0.30 xG 0.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
272 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
5 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh edged past Al Wehda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Riyadh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 44% of the ball to Al Wehda's 56%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.30 to 0.87 — on chances, Al Wehda could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Riyadh and 2.00 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Wehda?

Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 38%, draw 30%, Al Wehda 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riyadh), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5
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