Al Raed 1-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.79
2-3 Goals
35%
2.16
4-5 Goals
28%
2.34
6+ Goals
13%
4.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+9.9pp
21%
Draw
13%
+8.0pp
62%
Away Win
79%
-17.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 84%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.57/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.88
-60% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 87%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
9.7 Crosses 23.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.87 xG 2.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
255 Passes 531
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
07.03.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
16.09.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
28.04.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
16.12.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
21.05.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-2
AWAY Al Nassr
0.41 xG 1.99
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
217 Passes 555
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
21 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr edged past Al Raed 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Raed had 32% of the ball to Al Nassr's 68%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.41 to 1.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Raed and 2.67 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Nassr?

Al Raed 1-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 18%, draw 21%, Al Nassr 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
30 Jan 2025
17:00 Al Orubah vs Al Ahli Jeddah Analysis →
18:15 Al Riyadh vs Al Wehda Analysis →