Etoile Carouge 2-1 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.86
Over
45%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.17
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.45
6+
7%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.77 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.10
1.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.52
Great Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
12.5 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 1.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
394 Passes 320
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 0-2 HT 0-1 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV2
25.07.2025 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
11.11.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
26.11.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 0-3 HT 0-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
06.08.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-0 HT 2-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
09.04.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
REVIEW Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Etoile Carouge nicked a narrow win over Rapperswil-Jona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Etoile Carouge made the difference. The goals card split: both teams to score (55%) came in, under 2.5 goals (55%) didn't.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Etoile Carouge and 0.50 for Rapperswil-Jona.

Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona Result & Final Score

Etoile Carouge 2-1 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 35%, draw 28%, Rapperswil-Jona 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
30 Jan 2026
21:30 Stade Ouchy vs Vaduz Analysis →
21:30 Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Analysis →
22:15 Yverdon vs Aarau Analysis →