Bellinzona 5-0 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.5
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.19
6+
12%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax The Market 16%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
0.93 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.50
0.19 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.80
Great Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.0 Crosses 9.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
375 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
02.08.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-5 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
03.05.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
02.03.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
26.10.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 2-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
5-0
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
4.71 xG 0.86
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
411 Passes 248
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bellinzona swept aside Neuchatel Xamax 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bellinzona as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 50%.

By the numbers, Bellinzona had 63% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 37%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 4.71 to 0.86.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bellinzona and 2.00 for Neuchatel Xamax.

Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Result & Final Score

Bellinzona 5-0 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 62%, draw 18%, Neuchatel Xamax 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✓ Over 2.5
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