Neuchatel Xamax 1-0 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.18
Over
56%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.11
2-3
42%
1.84
4-5
22%
2.88
6+
12%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona The Market 26%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.80 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.05
0.90 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.58
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.4 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 0.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
315 Passes 379
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-5 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
03.05.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
02.03.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
26.10.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 2-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.05.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-0
AWAY Bellinzona
0.95 xG 0.99
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
460 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Neuchatel Xamax squeezed past Bellinzona 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Neuchatel Xamax had 60% of the ball to Bellinzona's 40%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.95 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.33 for Bellinzona.

Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona Result & Final Score

Neuchatel Xamax 1-0 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 53%, draw 25%, Bellinzona 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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