Bellinzona 1-5 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.97
Over
48%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.64
No
48%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.42
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
20%
3.18
6+
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax The Market 48%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.07 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.50
1.58 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.3 Crosses 25.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
347 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
02.03.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
26.10.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 2-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.05.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.02.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
1-5
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
0.16 xG 2.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
427 Passes 399
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 19
4 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Neuchatel Xamax ran out comfortable winners over Bellinzona 5-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 26% / 39%); Neuchatel Xamax picked one for it.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. At 1.64 (~61%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Bellinzona's favour, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.16 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Bellinzona against 1.33 for Neuchatel Xamax.

Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Result & Final Score

Bellinzona 1-5 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 35%, draw 26%, Neuchatel Xamax 39%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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