Bellinzona 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.97
Over
50%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.69
No
48%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.5
2-3
42%
1.79
4-5
19%
3.19
6+
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax The Market 28%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.28 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.10
1.28 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.35
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.4 Crosses 18.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
26.10.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 2-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.05.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.02.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
10.12.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
3-1
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.71 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
348 Passes 354
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bellinzona took care of Neuchatel Xamax 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bellinzona as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 52%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.69, roughly 59%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 50% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 50%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.71 to 0.82.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bellinzona and 1.17 for Neuchatel Xamax.

Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Result & Final Score

Bellinzona 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 44%, draw 24%, Neuchatel Xamax 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✓ BTTS Yes
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