Bellinzona 0-2 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -11%
1.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.43
-4% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.6 Crosses 21.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
315 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 2-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.05.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.02.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
10.12.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
01.09.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
19.03.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-2
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
0.32 xG 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
412 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax beat Bellinzona 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bellinzona at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 61% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 39%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.32 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bellinzona and 1.00 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Bellinzona 0-2 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 43%, draw 27%, Neuchatel Xamax 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bellinzona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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