Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.53/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.39
+17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.2 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
329 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 2-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.05.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
09.02.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
10.12.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
01.09.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-1
AWAY Bellinzona
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax and Bellinzona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 36% of the ball to Bellinzona's 64%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.00 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 36%, draw 30%, Bellinzona 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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