Yverdon 1-2 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.03
Over Pick
65%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.57
No
39%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.74
2-3
37%
1.81
4-5
29%
3.05
6+
13%
9.99
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau The Market 43%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.79
1.47 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.30
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.5 Crosses 11.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aarau
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.29 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
420 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 1-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
03.10.2025 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
23.05.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.02.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
04.11.2022 Aarau Aarau 3-2 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
30.09.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
1-2
AWAY Aarau
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
REVIEW Yverdon vs Aarau
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aarau nicked a narrow win over Yverdon 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yverdon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market (2.67, about 37%) was more cautious than we were — this time the price read it better. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Yverdon's favour, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Yverdon against 1.67 for Aarau.

Yverdon vs Aarau Result & Final Score

Yverdon 1-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Yverdon vs Aarau Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 44%, draw 24%, Aarau 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yverdon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yverdon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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