Stjarnan 2-1 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 30 Jan 2026

Stjarnan
2-1 HT 2-0
Keflavik
📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Iceland - League Cup – 2026

Stjarnan vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-1.7pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stjarnan v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 22%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.55/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.45
-43% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
431 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards 4.0

Stjarnan vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Keflavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 0.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
454 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.06.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 HT 3-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
25.02.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-4 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
03.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
11.06.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
18.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
04.09.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan nicked a narrow win over Keflavik 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stjarnan and 1.50 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

Stjarnan 2-1 Keflavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 61%, draw 17%, Keflavik 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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