Montpellier vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Montpellier
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Guingamp
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Montpellier
FR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Montpellier
FRLK
Montpellier 3-1 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Montpellier saw off Guingamp 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Montpellier found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Montpellier had 40% of the ball to Guingamp's 60%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.49 to 1.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montpellier and 0.50 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Montpellier vs Guingamp?
Montpellier 3-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 37%, draw 30%, Guingamp 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.