Stade Lavallois 0-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.01
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
9%
6.85
X/2
11%
5.05
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.11/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.79
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.1 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 398
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2025 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
31.01.2025 Pau Pau 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
27.09.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-1 HT 2-0 Pau Pau FR2
20.04.2024 Pau Pau 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
16.12.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
18.02.2023 Pau Pau 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
0-1
AWAY Pau
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau nicked a narrow win over Stade Lavallois 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pau as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 64% of the ball to Pau's 36%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.17 for Pau.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Pau?

Stade Lavallois 0-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 30%, draw 27%, Pau 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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