Kampala City 0-1 Gaddafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 30 Jan 2026

Kampala City
0-1 HT 0-1
Gaddafi
📅30/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Kampala City vs Gaddafi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kampala City v Gaddafi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.31/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
-24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Kampala City vs Gaddafi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gaddafi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Gaddafi Gaddafi 1-2 HT 1-2 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Gaddafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi squeezed past Kampala City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Gaddafi?

Kampala City 0-1 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Gaddafi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 53%, draw 30%, Gaddafi 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kampala City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5
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