UPDF vs BUL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UPDF v BUL — Team-Based Signals
UPDF vs BUL Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
UPDF
UGA
1-1
HT 0-1
BUL
UGA
UPDF 0-1 BUL — Actual Match Statistics
BUL edged past UPDF 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, UPDF had 53% of the ball to BUL's 47%, shots finished 10-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UPDF and 2.00 for BUL.
What was the final score of UPDF vs BUL?
UPDF 0-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UPDF vs BUL?
Before kick-off our model rated an BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UPDF 28%, draw 28%, BUL 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.