Ilkeston Town 2-2 Bradford Park Avenue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford Park Avenue EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.91/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
+43% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bradford Park Avenue
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2023 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue 4-1 HT 3-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
2-2
AWAY Bradford Park Avenue
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Bradford Park Avenue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town and Bradford Park Avenue couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 51% of the ball to Bradford Park Avenue's 49%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Bradford Park Avenue?

Ilkeston Town 2-2 Bradford Park Avenue in the England - Non League Premier on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Bradford Park Avenue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 52%, draw 24%, Bradford Park Avenue 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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