Napoli (K) 2-0 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
41%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.50/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.94
+57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
14.0 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.63 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
208 Passes 140
65% Pass Accuracy 53%
21 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
2-0
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
2.08 xG 0.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
211 Passes 284
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) got the better of Sampdoria (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Napoli (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 45% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.08 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Napoli (K) 2-0 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 30%, draw 29%, Sampdoria (K) 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sampdoria (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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