Campbelltown City 1-1 South Adelaide Panthers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.94
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
16%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-16.9pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campbelltown City EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
2.51/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.88
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Campbelltown City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 0-4 HT 0-2 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVSA
21.04.2023 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 3-0 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
09.07.2022 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 2-0 HT 2-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
09.04.2022 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 0-1 HT 0-0 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVSA
28.08.2021 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City 3-1 HT 1-1 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
12.06.2021 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 2-2 HT 1-1 Campbelltown City Campbelltown City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Campbelltown City vs South Adelaide Panthers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campbelltown City and South Adelaide Panthers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Campbelltown City at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Campbelltown City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Campbelltown City and 0.50 for South Adelaide Panthers.

What was the final score of Campbelltown City vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Campbelltown City 1-1 South Adelaide Panthers in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campbelltown City vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campbelltown City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Campbelltown City 57%, draw 20%, South Adelaide Panthers 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Campbelltown City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Campbelltown City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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