Modbury Jets 3-1 Adelaide Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Olympic EU Bookmakers 24%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.37/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.29
+9% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modbury Jets
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Adelaide Olympic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.07.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 1-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVSA
22.04.2023 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 3-2 HT 2-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
12.09.2020 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 2-4 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVSA
24.07.2020 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 1-2 HT 1-0 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modbury Jets beat Adelaide Olympic 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Modbury Jets as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Adelaide Olympic led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Modbury Jets and 2.50 for Adelaide Olympic.

What was the final score of Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic?

Modbury Jets 3-1 Adelaide Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Modbury Jets 53%, draw 20%, Adelaide Olympic 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modbury Jets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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