Sydney Olympic 4-3 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney Olympic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 37%
-23% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.50/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.70
-33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney Olympic
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.75
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
246 Passes 277
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-2 HT 1-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
29.04.2023 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 2-2 HT 0-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
13.06.2022 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 1-1 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
27.04.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 3-3 HT 1-2 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
06.06.2021 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-5 HT 1-2 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
14.04.2021 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 0-1 HT 0-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney Olympic squeezed past Wollongong Wolves 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Sydney Olympic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sydney Olympic and 1.67 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves?

Sydney Olympic 4-3 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sydney Olympic 38%, draw 24%, Wollongong Wolves 38%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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