Tochigi SC 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2024

Tochigi SC
1-1 HT 0-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Tochigi SC vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.29
6+ Goals
12%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tochigi SC v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.94/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.71
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8

Tochigi SC vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
251 Passes 579
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
12.03.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
21.09.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
05.06.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-3 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
13.11.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-0 HT 2-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
19.06.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

Tochigi SC 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-1
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 41% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 59%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.67 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Tochigi SC 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 28%, draw 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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