Jagiellonia Bialystok 6-0 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Mar 2024

Jagiellonia Bialystok
6-0 HT 2-0
Lodzki KS
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lodzki KS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
10%
6.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.1
X/1
21%
3.65
X/2
5%
15.6
X/X
8%
7.56
2/1
8%
20.45
2/2
5%
11.35
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
19.35
Value flag · 2/X at 19.35 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jagiellonia Bialystok v Lodzki KS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.71/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.51
+0% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.5 Crosses 12.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lodzki KS Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Lodzki KS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.13 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
473 Passes 238
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-2 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
10.06.2020 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-3 HT 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
03.11.2019 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
06.05.2012 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
26.11.2011 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 1-1 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Jagiellonia Bialystok 6-0 Lodzki KS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
6-0
AWAY Lodzki KS
3.56 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
28 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
489 Passes 254
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
49 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok ran out comfortable winners over Lodzki KS 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 64% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 36%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.56 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 0.80 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lodzki KS?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 6-0 Lodzki KS in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 63%, draw 24%, Lodzki KS 14%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok)
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