Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.3
X/1
21%
3.55
X/2
5%
13.4
X/X
8%
6.16
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
8%
10.8
2/X
5%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.05/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.84
+13% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
19.9 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.17 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
259 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 3-5 HT 1-3 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
0.95 xG 0.42
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
202 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa and Ruch Chorzow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rakow Czestochowa at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 36% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 64%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.95 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Ruch Chorzow?

Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 61%, draw 21%, Ruch Chorzow 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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