Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Moreirense — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
3-2
HT 2-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POK
2-1
HT 1-0
Moreirense
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Moreirense
POR
2-2
HT 1-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes edged past Moreirense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 41% of the ball to Moreirense's 59%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.17 for Moreirense.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 43%, draw 29%, Moreirense 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.