Guangxi Baoyun 0-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 36% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.60/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.59
-31% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
8.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
11.8 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Nanjing City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.52 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
312 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 4-1 HT 3-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
09.06.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 HT 2-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
21.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
08.07.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
04.08.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
20.07.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
0-1
AWAY Nanjing City
0.46 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
277 Passes 170
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City edged past Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Nanjing City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 59% of the ball to Nanjing City's 41%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.46 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 1.00 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Nanjing City?

Guangxi Baoyun 0-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 36%, draw 33%, Nanjing City 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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